RCM Robinson Capital Management LLC
 
  The Robinson Report           A quick and simple weekly market performance report.
Friday, November 25, 2005

 

 


Week in review:  

  • After Fed Action - Whenever the Fed raises interest rates numerous times, there is the possibility that their action could lead to a "hard landing" for the economy. For instance, the first two quarters following seven Fed rate hikes in 1994-95 showed annualized GDP growth of +1.1% and +0.7%. The economy quickly recovered and produced average annualized GDP growth of +4.3% over the next 20 quarters. 

  • Short Up, Long Down - The Fed has raised short-term interest rates 12 times since 6/04. On 6/30/04, the yield on the two-year Treasury note was 2.70% versus 4.62% on the ten-year Treasury note. Today, the yield on the two-year note is 4.32% and the yield on the ten-year note was 4.44%.

  • Five In A Row - All major equity indexes covered in this report made gains for the 5th straight week. The S&P 500 index (including dividends) is now less than 4% away from posting double digit returns for 2005. Beating the index, the Aggressive Growth portfolio just hit over 10% total return for the year. 


ASSET CLASS RETURNS 


  


Portfolio Performance REVIEW 

   
 
 

"Forever is composed of nows."
-- Emily Dickinson

 

% change in week ending 11/25/05

S&P500

2.05

US Lg Val (Russell 1000 Value)

2.41

US Sm (Russell 2000)

2.46

Intl (EAFE)

1.44

Intl Sm (EAFE Small)

1.11

3-5yr Treas (Bloomberg)

0.26

 

 

 

 

% change

Bloomberg Silicon Valley Index

Last 12 months

13.29

YTD

10.37

Last 5 sessions

2.55

 

 

% change

Global Hedge Fund Index  (11/23/05)

Last 12 months

2.94

YTD

1.14

Last 5 days

0.94

 

CONTACT US

RCM Robinson Capital Management LLC
27 Reed Blvd, Mill Valley, CA 94941
Tel: 1.415.771.9421
Fax: 415.762.1980
Email

 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Portfolio Performance is calculated by the Bloomberg Professional System on a total return basis. Current portfolio allocations

 

 

Important Performance Disclosure Information  

Portfolio Performance is the total return of seven unique asset allocation strategies that seek to fit the distinct needs of different investor goals, risk tolerance levels and investment time horizon. Each portfolio contains up to 16 individual funds totaling over 4000 securities, managed by OppenheimerFunds. The portfolios are designed to create efficient diversification through the selection of lower correlating asset classes. The purpose of these tables and charts is for you to follow specific market indexes, observe asset class rotation and to compare actual portfolio returns. 


Portfolio Performance is the total return of seven unique asset allocation strategies that seek to fit the distinct needs of different investor goals, risk tolerance levels and investment time horizon. Each portfolio contains up to 16 individual funds totaling over 4000 securities, managed by OppenheimerFunds. The portfolios are designed to create efficient diversification through the selection of mutual funds that may have a  low correlation between asset classes. The purpose of these tables and charts is for you to follow specific market indexes, observe asset class rotation and to compare actual portfolio returns net of management fees. Asset allocation strategy is available here.

 

Before investing in any of the OppenheimerFunds, investors should carefully consider a fund's investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. The fund's prospectus contains this and other information about the fund. Read prospectuses carefully before investing.      

S&P 500 - Standard & Poor's 500 Index (not including dividends) - generally considered a U.S. Large Growth company market index.

Russell 1000 Value Index (US Lg Val) - generally considered a U.S. Large Value company market index.

Russell 2000 Index (US Sm)- generally considered a U.S. Small company market index.

EAFE - EAFE Index (Intl) (not including dividends) Europe, Australia, Far East and generally considered a large company international market index.

EAFE Sm - EAFE Small Index (Intl Sm) (not including dividends) Europe, Australia, Far East and generally considered a small company international market index.

Bloomberg Silicon Valley Index - market index of high tech companies located in the Silicon Valley area. 
Global Hedge Fund Index - representative of the overall composition of the hedge fund universe. It is comprised of eight strategies: 
convertible arbitrage, merger arbitrage, equity hedge, equity market neutral, relative value arbitrage, event driven, distressed securities, and macro. The strategies are asset weighted based on the distribution of assets in the hedge fund industry. See hedge fund risks. 

3-5yr Treas. - Bloomberg U.S. Government Treasuries 3-5 year maturities index and generally considered a intermediate maturity U.S. Government Note index.

All investments involve risk, including loss of principal. Foreign securities involve additional risks, including foreign currency changes, political changes, foreign taxes, and different methods of accounting and financial reporting. The foregoing has been prepared solely for informational purposes, and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security or instrument or to participate in any particular trading strategy.  

The information contained herein is based on sources and data believed reliable, but is not guaranteed. Advisory services offered through RCM Robinson Capital Management LLC, SEC Registered Investment Advisor. Securities offered through Securities America, Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. Douglas C. Robinson, Registered Representative. RCM Robinson Capital Management LLC and Securities America, Inc. are separate and unaffiliated.

 
RCM Robinson Capital Management LLC, Securities America, Inc, 27 Reed Boulevard, Mill Valley, CA 94941

(phone) 415-771-9421       (fax) 415-762-1980